Perry Watch: A (nonpartisan) computer concludes Rick Perry is only Republican who can beat Obama

Houston Chronicle ^ | 7-5-2011 | Andrea Vasquez

[smoothsailing]

Perry Watch: A (nonpartisan) computer concludes that Rick Perry is the only Republican who can beat Obama

Andrea Vasquez

July 5, 2011

...Excerpt...

A forecasting model called PollyVote combines several index models for a well-rounded approach to predicting the next U.S. president. One of the models used in PollyVote is a biographical index, called PollyBio, that ranks candidates based on 59 biographical characteristics such as age, home state and athleticism.

.....

When they tested PollyBio on the past 29 presidential elections – from 1896 to 2008 – the forecast matched the actual outcome 27 times. The two it missed: Jimmy Carter’s 1976 election and Bill Clinton’s 1992 election.

.....

Perry was the only one among 14 GOP candidates to come out ahead of Obama. Compared side-by-side on the PollyVote bio index, Perry came out with 21 points to Obama’s 20, translating to 50.3 percent of votes for Perry...

[Cincinatus' Wife]

Bump!

[smoothsailing]

Thanks! Coming from someone as talented as you, that is quite the compliment! :)

[potlatch]

I can’t tell you how much I appreciate that SS. Thank you!

[smoothsailing]

Happy Easter, potlatch! :o)

[potlatch]

Oh my, that is hilarious and I love it! So nice to see you and I appreciate your Easter wish so much S.S. and wish you a wonderful Easter too!