Hutchison had no chance with solid conservatives, so her only hope was to siphon off votes from Perry. Thus Medina.
Take it to the bank (but don't try to cash it...)
Probably dead-on!
I still think Medina was a paulista libertarian. She caught a lot of attention until the “Truther” slipage killed her in the debate.
Don’t think Kay Bailey really had any decent shot. Way back when KBH first got the Senate, she was the lessor of two evils, but when actual conservatives got in the game, her jig was up.