The sad thing is he’ll probably win with 70% in 2012. Brooklyn and Queens of course.
You may be surprised. The Republican got 42% against him last year. Now there's another piece posted on FR claiming that Weiner's recent problems make a Republican win in his district a good possibility either in a special election if he should step down or in 2012 if he should seek re-election. But the district may not be entirely the same due to redistricting.