I know what the local police do well, and also know the local Judge. I know the kind of folks we have here, also have some inference from experience in past similar cases. That is to say, I made an educated guess as to what will happen.
Just like a few years ago I made an educated guess that they won’t be able to solve a murder without some help. Murders are rare here.
Makes sense. Hope you're right. If it happened in our community I think we'd have a similar result, for the same reasons.