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To: markomalley

The results don’t reflect that people think 1 out of 4 are homosexual. The results reflect that Americans don’t understand simple mathematic principles.


59 posted on 05/27/2011 2:15:12 PM PDT by Brent Calvert 03969-030
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To: Brent Calvert 03969-030

People generally don’t think in terms of probabilities—this poll also provides categories when the underlying metric is a continuous variable from 0 to 100 percent. If I ask a question that I have information suggests the most probable correct value is about 2 percent but then provide a set of categories that nearly all are higher, you would find people generally would pick a category near the middle of the set. This is old stuff in psychology research and it is a good illustration of the difference between polling and scientific measurement.
A key clue is that the more education the respondent has, the lower the estimated percentage. This is probably a better test of a person’s knowledge, than of the issue it claims to measure.


98 posted on 05/27/2011 8:08:00 PM PDT by iacovatx (If you must lie to recruit to your cause, you are fighting for the wrong side.)
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