I doubt it. The Iranian regime uses this Good-cop, Bad-cop routine constantly to split the opposition. Khatami becoming President and the Reformists winning the election before Ahmadinejad was seen at the time as being a big deal, but in the end it turned out that the so-called Reformists didn’t really do anything because SURPRISE! They’re part of the regime too! All this is an elaborate strategy of tension to preserve power.
Maybe, but if Mahmoud judges incorrectly he's