“By 2039 half of the population of the US will be minorities as defined by the USG.”
Thus, it will take much more than 30 years for “minorities” to be a majority of the electorate. 50 years sounds about right.
BTW, all this is assumes that recent immigration patterns stay the same; any change in our immigration laws and enforcement thereof could change things considerably.
Thus, it will take much more than 30 years for minorities to be a majority of the electorate. 50 years sounds about right.
Bureau of the Census: An Older and More Diverse Nation by Midcentury
"The non-Hispanic, single-race white population is projected to be only slightly larger in 2050 (203.3 million) than in 2008 (199.8 million). In fact, this group is projected to lose population in the 2030s and 2040s and comprise 46 percent of the total population in 2050, down from 66 percent in 2008.
In 2050, the nation's population of children is expected to be 62 percent minority, up from 44 percent today. Thirty-nine percent are projected to be Hispanic (up from 22 percent in 2008), and 38 percent are projected to be single-race, non-Hispanic white (down from 56 percent in 2008).
The percentage of the population in the "working ages" of 18 to 64 is projected to decline from 63 percent in 2008 to 57 percent in 2050.
The working-age population is projected to become more than 50 percent minority in 2039 and be 55 percent minority in 2050 (up from 34 percent in 2008). Also in 2050, it is projected to be more than 30 percent Hispanic (up from 15 percent in 2008), 15 percent black (up from 13 percent in 2008) and 9.6 percent Asian (up from 5.3 percent in 2008).
Go here for more detailed tables
NB. This is based on the 2000 census. The 2010 Census changed some of the projections, e.g., the date that minorities will be half the population was moved from 2042 to 2039. The date that minorities will be half of the children under 18 was changed from 2023 to 2019.
It is worth remembering the impact immigration has on these numbers. The U.S. adds one international migrant (net) every 36 seconds. Immigrants account for one in 8 U.S. residents, the highest level in more than 80 years. In 1970 it was one in 21; in 1980 it was one in 16; and in 1990 it was one in 13. In a decade, it will be one in 7, the highest level in our history. And by 2050, one in 5 residents of the U.S. will be foreign-born. Currently, 1.6 million legal and illegal immigrants settle in the country each year; 350,000 immigrants leave each year, resulting in net immigration of 1.25 million.
Since 1970, the U.S. population has increased from 203 million to 310 million, i.e., over 100 million. In the next 40 years, the population will increase by 130 million. Three-quarters of the increase in our population since 1970 and the projected increase will be the result of immigration. The U.S., the worlds third most populous nation, has the highest annual rate of population growth of any developed country in the world, i.e., 0.977% (2010 estimate), principally due to immigration.
87 percent of the 1.2 million legal immigrants entering annually are minorities as defined by the U.S. Government and almost all of the 500,000 to 1 million illegal aliens entering each year are minorities. Generally, immigrants and minorities vote predominantly for the Democrat Party. Hence, Democrats view immigration as a never-ending source of voters that will make them the permanent majority party.
It is also worth remembering that 300,000 to 400,000 anchor babies are born each year to illegal alien parents. This translates into one in every ten births in this country. Essentially, we are being colonized by the Third World, a process that stems from the 1965 Immigration Act that changed the demographics of the US forever.