GALLUP: Romney, Palin Lead Reduced GOP Field for 2012 (Romney 17, Palin 15, Paul 10,Gingrich 9)

Gallup ^ | 05/26/2011 | Jeffrey Jones

[SeekAndFind]

PRINCETON, NJ -- Mitt Romney (17%) and Sarah Palin (15%) now lead a smaller field of potential Republican presidential candidates in rank-and-file Republicans' preferences for the party's 2012 nominee. Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich, and Herman Cain essentially tie for third, with Cain registering 8% support in his initial inclusion in Gallup "trial heat" polling. Notably, 22% of Republicans do not have a preference at this point.

The May 20-24 poll is the first update of Republican nomination preferences after a recent flurry of activity in the race for the 2012 nomination, with several formally declaring their presidential candidacies, including Paul, Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, and Cain. Perhaps as significant were the decisions by Mike Huckabee, Donald Trump, and Mitch Daniels to forgo the race. In Gallup's April update, Huckabee and Trump were the co-leaders, with Huckabee placing first in the other Gallup updates this year.

Of the 10 candidates included in the newly reduced list, 7 have either officially announced their candidacies or established exploratory committees. Jon Huntsman and Michele Bachmann are nearing decisions and are expected to get in the race, while Palin's status as a candidate is less certain.

Re-allocating Palin supporters' votes to the candidate who is their second choice gives a sense of where current preferences would stand without Palin in the mix. Under this scenario, Romney leads with 19%, followed by Gingrich and Paul with 12% each.

Romney's and Palin's status at the top of the field is owing in large part to their high name identification among rank-and-file Republicans. Gingrich and Paul are also well-known among the party base. Cain, on the other hand, is far less well-known, but he has generated a strong positive reaction among those who do know him, which allows him to place ahead of slightly better-known candidates

[truthfreedom]

Ron Paul in 2008.

iowa - 10%
NH - 8%
nevada - 14%
maine - 18%
alaska - 17%
minnesota - 16%
montana - 25%
north dakota - 21%
kansas - 11%
washington - 22%
pennsylvania - 16%
nebraska - 13%
oregon - 15%
idaho - 24%

Gallup Polls from about 4 years ago.

Ron Paul got 1%, 2%, and *% in polls in May 2007 and leading up to May 2007.

This time around, Ron Paul is at 10%.

He’s up 8% over last time.

[truthfreedom]

I’d rather have a woman. There are even more women than hispanics in the US.

And there hasn’t been a woman President yet.

Wouldn’t that be a coup? For the First Woman President to be a Republican?

Do the Republicans have a really well known and really well liked woman politician? </sarc>