We are 10 months away from the primaries and 18 months away from the general election. I wouldn't put much value in the so-called polls.
In early 1980, at the start of the primaries, and 9 months before the general election, Reagan was behind Bush in the polls by a lot for the nomination and he was behind Carter by 32 points in the polls for the general election.
I believe in 1976, Carter lead Ford by about 30 or more points in the polls only months before the election. Carter won by ~ 2 points.
The 1996 polls showed Clinton beating Bush by between about 10 and 18 points on election eve.
You may choose to hug the polls. I won't.
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Agreed.
Dole was the GOP candidate in 1996, not Bush. Also, the polls before that election did not show Dole (or anyone else) ahead of Clinton, much less by 10 points though they did show some erosion in Clinton's lead.
I neither "hug" them, nor disregard them.
A question: if not polls, where do you obtain your sense of Mrs. Palin's "populartity" or "electability" throughout this land?
>> “The 1996 polls showed Clinton beating Bush” <<
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Huh ? ? ? ?