Kaine is worse than Webb.
>according to a new Washington Post poll
Translation: the Republican leads by double digits.
Worthless poll. Registered voters don't decide an election, LIKELY voters do.
Looks like we’re in for another late night in select Northern VA/Richmond precincts.
This race could go either way, though George Allen ought to be polling better than he is IMHO. I still have doubts as to whether he’s so gaffe-prone that we would be better off with someone else as the nominee.
George Allen was a great governor and senator. How Kaine can even be close is shocking. Short memories of what Allen did for Virginia.
Tied among registered voters? Good. I expect turnout to decide the close contests and I expect a huge anti-Obama wave of turnout across all 57 states. ;)
Couple of tidbits. This is a registered voter poll, not likely voters. Sample is skewed Dem. and Allen does quite a bit better than Kaine amongst Independents. My guess is a “Likely Voter Poll” without the Dem. Skew will have Allen up by 10+.
They must have polled the only two districts that voted Democratic in the last election.
Remind everyone of the truth: Kaine is a Hussein Cultist. That should take him down in Virginia to about 15% of the vote.
The Washington Post typically oversamples democrats. This poll shows a mirror image of voter sentiment on the democrat/Republican voters, 86-10 and 10-85, with independents in favor of Allen 49-39. http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/politics/virginia-senate-2012-an-early-look/2011/05/07/AF9j97LG_graphic.html
With such an overwhelming independent vote on Allen’s side, and a mirror-image breakout on the democrat/Republican vote, the only way you could end up with a 46-46 tie is if you counted more democrats to balance out the independents.
The Post polls usually do this in Virginia elections. The Republican in early polls always shows up badly because of the democrat weighting. They hope to create a bandwagon effect for the democrat and demoralize the Republican base.