RE: A year from now the economy will be worse and most people won’t even remember or care about Osama being killed.
A little over a year before the 1992 elections, Bush Senior’s approval ratings were close to 90% after the US crushed Saddam Hussein’s forces and drove him out of Kuwait.
Well look what happened in November 1992... Ross Perot came into the picture and Clinton convinced enough Americans that the mild recession was one of the worst in US history.
Bush Senior got 39% of the votes, Clinton got 43% and Perot got 19%.
A lot can happen in over a year.