Most of what you say is true. It’s what’s missing that skews some of your predictions. Ross Perot, for all his appeal to Conservatives otherwise, was pro-abortion. This single flaw killed millions of votes, mine one of them. Despite what many of the Ayn-ers say, U. S. Conservatism is now, and always has been, an amalgamation of social, fiscal, foreign, and domestic policy based on a Christian ethos. Since Roe, the GOP has never successfully run a pro-abort candidate, nor has it elected weak or inarticulate pro-life supporters. Think Ford, Bush Sr., Dole, McCain. Yes, McCain’s (and to a lesser extent, Dole’s) voting record recommended him, but interviews on the subject contradicted his bona fides. Bush Sr’s problem was no voting record and Barbara. Perot was bad news on two counts: he not only took votes from Bush, he stifled the Christian vote.
If Trump were a real patriot, he’d throw his considerable wealth and media-magnetism at an electable GOP candidate.
That is possibly true...there are a lot of factors, I only dove down through a couple.
I find Trump interesting, but in the same way I find Jim Traficant interesting.