“Barring a financial meltdown”
The problem with that is, most people will consider our current unemployment problem, with food and energy inflation, along with a double dip depressive housing market and $5 a gallon gas (who knows where it will be in 2012) a personal financial meltdown.
If Obama can fix that he’ll probably win. But I don’t think he can, at least, not doing what he’s doing now.
Of course we have been in a financial meltdown for some time; forestalled only by massive borrowing and printing of money which only serve to hastens a final collapse.