No. I would explain it using phrases like probability theory and continuous probability distribution, but I’m thinking you’re probably the kind of guy who doesn’t put much faith into this fancy math stuff, and whatnot.
>> but I’m thinking you’re probably the kind of guy who doesn’t put much faith into this fancy math stuff, and whatnot.
LOL - that’s rich given your emphasis on probability and an intrinsically non-distributive single sample of 1. Should I have faith in “fancy math stuff”, does that disrupt the balance of your reasoning?
“like probability theory and continuous probability distribution”
You have no idea of what you say in relation to Public Opinion Polling.
A small population state does not make a small opinion poll any more accurate.
The numerical weight of those polled is constant and equals a normal distribution error range + or - a certain percentage.
Don’t use big words if you don’t have a clue as to what you are talking about.