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To: Viiksitimali

So this is the situation now that all votes have been counted.

Head of Conservative party (”kokoomus”) will be appointed to form a government. He will surely succeed.
Centre-right party (”keskusta”) had big losses and they announced that they will likely be in the opposition.

Parlament has 200 seats and typically government has comfortable majority (e.g. 125 seats). Swedish party has always been in the government (it has no other goal than to be in the government so it is easy to add to the coalition).

Conservative party: 44 seats
SDP: 42 seats
PS (True Finns: 39 seats
Centre 35 seats
Communists 14 seats
Communist/greens: 10 seats
Swedes: 9 seats

Likely coalition is Conservative + SDP + True Finns (125 seats), and with swedes it is 134 seats.

If True Finns would demand real policy changes (e.g. end of EU bailouts, end of mass-immigration) it would simply be replaced by Centre-party or communists in the coalition.

So, no real change expected in Finland’s Euro policy. I expect True Finns to be in the government and not demand any real changes. Next election will wipe them out.


31 posted on 04/17/2011 3:31:30 PM PDT by heiss
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To: heiss; Viiksitimali
So, no real change expected in Finland’s Euro policy. I expect True Finns to be in the government and not demand any real changes. Next election will wipe them out.

I suspect that they realize that as well, which means that it makes no sense for them to be part of any government which does not either stop EU bailouts or stop Islamic immigration.

In which case, they could withdraw from the governing coalition and spend the next few years denouncing the National Coalition, Centre and SD's as being just facets of the EU elite, with no real difference between them, and proclaim itself as the ONLY choice for people who do not want to be impoverished by the EU bailouts.

When the full scope of the Spanish and Italian bailouts become known, any party which took part in the bailouts will be in trouble with the voters. It might be too much to expect the party leaders to wind up like Mussolini.

33 posted on 04/17/2011 3:43:12 PM PDT by PapaBear3625 ("It is only when we've lost everything, that we are free to do anything" -- Fight Club)
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To: heiss

SDP and True Finns are against Eu bailouts.


34 posted on 04/17/2011 3:43:27 PM PDT by Viiksitimali
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