Posted on 04/12/2011 4:19:04 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
Aftershock sequence may last 10 years: report
Wednesday 13th April, 04:33 AM JST
WASHINGTON —
An American scientist believes it may take 10 years before aftershocks from the magnitude 9.0 earthquake that devastated northeastern Japan last month subside, The Washington Post reported Tuesday.
As a series of quakes believed to be the aftershocks of the March 11 temblor continue to rattle a large swath of eastern Japan, the report quoted Ross Stein, a geophysicist at the U.S. Geological Survey, as saying, ‘‘It will take probably a decade before this aftershock sequence is over.’‘
A new calculation by Stein and two colleagues, including Shinji Toda of Kyoto University, has concluded that the massive quake in March might have heightened the stress on faults bracketing the ruptured segment of the Japan Trench, the report said.
(Excerpt) Read more at japantoday.com ...
P!
Well THAT’s just spiffy!
Actually, I am thinking what this guy is just the first in a long series of earthquake experts who are going to be making wild and exciting predictions simply to get airtime and newsprint ink.
I am sure they included level 4,5 earthquake at the second half of ten years. The concern should be what happens in next one year.
Stein is one of the top earthquake scientists in the world. The coulomb stress methodology is sound; a given earthquake increases and decreases stress around it in a certain pattern.
I've asked this on a lot of threads, but I'll ask again, out of sheer curiosity; why, exactly, do you hate scientists?
Especially if it's not over anthropogenic global warming or crevo....
You may have asked it a number of times on other threads, but you haven't asked me, and for your information I don't hate scientist -- nor do I consider them to be all-knowing demigods.
I edit scientific papers for a living, so I know just how cantankerous, venal, exasperating and condescending they can be. I also know that they are fallible human beings and many of them are attention whores.
Every time there is a major disaster there are always huge numbers of such scientists who immediately start looking at it for ways to attract publicity and/or grant money.
Whether or not this guy is one of them, the idea of a 10 year aftershock sequence is certainly going to generate a lot of attention and controversy, and considering the lurid attention the recent earthquake has generated among worldwide "experts" I think I might be forgiven for a bit of cynicism.
Thanks for the clarification.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.