The reasons:1. The main stream media will do everything they can to help his re-election.2. The Republican Party will again do everything in their power to ensure that he remainsin the White House.3. His support among his base has not diminished. 4. if needed, vote fraud.
I fear you may be very right.
“3. His support among his base has not diminished.”
This is where you are wrong. It has diminished across the board. Whites who voted for change got totally screwed over and most will not make the same mistake twice. Blacks are largely unhappy since the economy sucks and they are no better off than before. They are seeing him as more of an elitist white socialist than as a liberal black Santa Claus. Hard left liberals feel he has sold them out on virtually every campaign promise. Hollywood liberals feel he has wasted his time in office and see him as an embarassing failure to be mocked. High ranking democrats sense he is vulnerable and will be even more so in a second term. They don’t want history repeating itself the way Reagan trounced on Carter, so watch for democrats to slowly start to come out of the woodwork to test the political waters.