I guess I don't understand your equation. According to the world population clock, at 23:02 UTC on 3/15/2011 the world population was 6,905,991,023. According to your formula, if I subtract 1 from this total, I get 6,905,991,022. Are you saying that an error rate of 6,905,991,022 is "acceptable"? That seems pretty high to me, based on 30+ years experience in engineering, in private, public, and academic jobs. Better to use the historical nuclear industry average for LWR technology: zero fatalities, zero injuries among the general population.
I can now say with some certainy that you're at least right once in awhile. ;)