“has there ever been a ridership prediction for any mass transit proposal that was anyway near the actual figure?”
Yes.
http://www.capitolcorridor.org/included/docs/ccjpa/publicworkshops06.pdf
The 1998 ridership of the Amtrak California Capitol Corridor (463,000) exceeded the projections cast in 1991 of 165,000 by a consioderable margin. In 2009 and 2010 the ridership was up to 1.5 million which was well in excess of the 1991 projection for 2010 ridership of 450,000.
wall i’ll be!;-)
thanx, Meg
And it's still a huge money loser.