>Florida,
It’s a pink state which occasionally goes blue. You have to run a very popular Democratic candidate to win in that state. Obie’s lost Florida. The Panhandle and Central FLA areas will walk on broken coral barefoot to vote against him.
>Ohio
Same for Ohio. You have to be a popular dem to win in Ohio, and Obama isn’t a popular dem. 2 out of 3 chance we pick this up with the right candidate.
>Iowa
Cyan state which occasionally goes red. Don’t be surprised if we peel this off.
>Virginia
Virginia’s ours. It’s a darker pink state that occasionally goes blue.
>New Hampshire
Cyan state which occasionally goes red. And it has 3 EVs anyway.
The other notable thing is that Obama’s base is collapsing.
NV, CO, MN, WI, PA, NJ and ME are all really weak.
Another shift of 3 percentage points away from Obama will drive all of these states into the tossup column.
Hard to tell about a presidential race, but the tea leaves in OH are definitely anti-Dem. We swept most state offices and local offices last time across the state. I personally know Obama voters who are deeply regretful.
Plus this is among ADULTS, not likely voters.