The army might decide to run things themselves.
yep...only in Libya, when the military coup takes place it will not be bloodless like it was in Egypt. In fact it could be the Libyan Army that gives Kadaffy the Mussolini treatment themselves, especially after being ordered to fire on their own people.
Oil is spiked up over $3 right now, and if any threat to Libya’s oil arises, the price will spike even further. Libyan oil is high quality and anything that interferes with that, like BP just announcing they are evacuating their people from Libya, will spike the price even higher with serious repercussions for economies all over the world.
Much as the military in Egypt took over from the King in the 50’s and then one of their own (Nasser) after the 6 day war failure by replacing him with an air force colonel (Sadat). Qaddaffi was one of the 4 colonels in the Libyan army that coup’ed their King in the late 60’s, so the military “taking over” now would be much like a change in CEO at a company here in the states — same outfit running the show, but a new face in front of the camera.
The thing that has to be considered is how far deep the fundamentalist islamic theology has penetrated the military.