One thing is likely — he will have to provide his actual birth certificate, with name of hospital, physician, and his full name, if he is really going to go all the way through the campaign for the Democratic nomination.
There has to be a reason he is not producing it.
I think it has to do with the name on the certificate not being Obama.
This isn’t going away, unless Obama decides, like LBJ, to not seek re-election, very possibly because he sees another Democrat will clearly get the nomination. Then, he’ll go away without ever having to produce the original birth certificate.
That’s my prediction...
I think the LBJ scenario is the most likely. And Obama will need to claim it has nothing to do with the eligibility issue which means he will have to make the announcement sometime this year before there is any ballot qualification unpleasantness.