That district in the South Bay has deteriorated politically since then. We used to hold the occasional Assembly seat down there, but haven't been able to come close in any race for some time. I'd be really surprised (but won't rule it out) if we had a shot. I'd say Kuykendall himself would have the best shot if he's willing to have ago at it again. I'll send him an email and let y'all know what he says.
Specials can produce surprises. Now that we’re in the majority in the House, we ought to have some more muscle in the $$ and recruitment departments to help our candidates be competitive in even Dem-leaning districts.
Dem challenger Winograd took 41% in the 2010 primary. The Republican challenger in the mid-term election took only 35%, a very weak result in a swing election. Chances are not good.