One hiccup, and Egypt turns into another radical Islamic state. It may be true that the military right now, today, supports Mubarak. But the history of this type of civil unrest leans large towards the army shifting allegiance.
I think we end up with another festering sore over there. It is not our business, per se. But it surely will be a huge problem we’ll inevitably have to deal with.
I’d give it ten years or in between. Gamal Mubarak is an unknown and untested quantity. The transfer of power from father to son may or may not go smoothly and its not all certain Gamal can demonstrate the toughness required to rule the country as his father Hosni did.
One word.
Aswan