Oh, definitely. I’m Anti Rove and the rest of the neocons. Rove and them are not Conservative. They’re against Conservatives. They should go. I’m just saying that theres very little evidence of any type of Rove effect when looking at the exit polls.
In some of the earlier polls, SurveyUSA mid October for example, there did seem to be some possible problems bringing Republicans on board. In that poll, Christine was only getting 64% of Republicans. But in the exit poll, she ended up with 81%. 14% of the white Republicans voted for Coons. 14% of the White Democrats voted for Christine.
Conclusions can be drawn from looking at this old poll and the exit poll. The SurveyUSA poll predicted that 23% of the voters would be 65+. And that the 65+ would vote 52% Coons 33% O’Donnell. It turned out that only 17% of the voters were 65+, but they voted 55-44 for Christine. If the 65+ turnout was as predicted, Christine would’ve picked up a point or 2 right there.
SurveyUSA predicted black turnout at 15%. And predicted Coons with 79% of the blacks. Exit polls had black turnout at 22% and Coons with 93%. That difference is very substantial - 5 - 10 %. the fdu poll had blacks as 14% of total voters.
Christine did much better with whites than the polls indicated. She won whites by 6. Polls indicated that she’d lose whites by 14% - surveyusa. Black turnout was huge, and 93% voted for Coons. She won whites. The polls before the election were not telling that story at all. The polls before the election had her weak with whites, weak with Republicans, weak with Conservatives. And she was picking up black votes in the early polls, and blacks weren’t predicted to vote too much. Most polls got it completely wrong, except for the final number.
“And that the 65+ would vote 52% Coons 33% O’Donnell.”
As an aside, I wonder if the 65+ are that naive all over the country.
They will soon find out just how much they will be hurt by Obamacare when their Medicare lets them down.