I tried to see if this had been posted with the title “Sunspots”, but that came back blank on a title search! This references a technical article, but I posted this for the commentary.
NASA is deep into the cult of global warming, and that isn’t going to happen without lots of activity on the sun. NASA’s sun spot predictions are wishful thinking.
Ping
I love God’s sense of humor smashing the Earth Worshipers with no more effort than the wind lifts a dandelion seed.
My father was a big believer in the sun spot cycle affecting weather. Things have been proving him right.
Then, the new Cycle 24 DIDN'T happen on schedule ~ not even near it. I remember them checking to see if maybe they hadn't interpreted the magnetic orientation in error.
Well, end of that settled science. Sunspots are way down; England is freezing; Europe is disappearing behind a wall of endless winter, and our alternative "count" trick ~ the number of states in which it snows on any given day ~ is still high. It's more often 38 than it is 20, and it's sure not like the 5s and 10s we've had a decade ago.
Call that the MUAWIYAH COUNT ~ it's lookin' bad guys.
Oh, you can't do that for Canada. It's almost always snowing somewhere this winter, last winter, the winter before ~
I sit here listening to the 17M band die as the sun sets. I see the sunspot count at 24 and the SFI at 81, where it has been for what seems like months and wonder if even a count of 64 at the maximum is optimistic...
Added some keywords so we can find this again!!!
It's currently predicting a max of around 65 in 2013 (which would be in the same range as the Dalton Minimum), but I think it's going to be adjusted downward again next week, because the last three months have been down.
Have a Great and Hopefully Warm New Year !
Low solar activity does bring a lower overall solar input (and higher brings higher), not really enough to explain the full swing of temperature. My guess is that high solar multiplies heat by calming the stratosphere, so that's we saw warming above the small amount expected from CO2 rises.
Now that amplification effect is gone so global warming as we knew and loved it, will end. It doesn't mean it will get cold, but the increased temperature variation in the stratosphere will bring more extremes. One source of that variation is galactic cosmic rays which we get more of when the sun is inactive (low solar magnetic = more GCR). GCR is an especially uneven and unpredictable phenomenon.