ping
hey gates, why don’t you send a couple battalions of queers over there to take care of things ?
How many more people can they fit into Daegu?
Yes it is. Though it’s really mass evacuation of Seoul (population 10million+), not the whole country. It’s Seoul that’s vulnerable & will be attacked.
But understandable. I think the NK-watchers believe that the impending post-Kim era will not come quietly. And while it's not entirely clear what form the unrest will take, it's a better than even bet that there will be a military component, possibly or probably directed toward the South.
So, by necessity, they're starting to look seriously at the contingencies, which are unpleasant.
Note that there's a complementary military component to this.
A mass of refugees moving south, is mostly a problem if the defending military is either being driven back onto them, or if supplies and reinforcements are trying to move northward through the refugees.
To avoid that problem, I think the military plan would have to rely heavily on stopping the NK invasion early, and on keeping supply lines short and relatively forward.
It means establishing air dominance (which should happen quickly), and also making sure that enough artillery and other defensive preparations survive the initial bombardment to effectively disrupt and destroy the waves of invading NK infantry.
It works otherwise too: to be successful, an NK invasion would have to rely on speed, because it's almost certain that they will not be able to maintain their supply lines. They know that eventually they'll have to try to live off the land as they move south, and they want to forestall that for as long as they can. So it's doubly important slow them down or stop them, because they'll quickly starve.
Finally, it's imperative to establish and maintain naval superiority along the coasts, in order to keep open the crucial seaborne resupply lines and ports. Keeping control of the coasts and ports means that, even if the NK breaks through in the middle, they'll end up with long, exposed flanks, which can eventually be cut.
Note that none of this really applies, if the North Koreans' intent is simply to stage a götterdämmerung scenario. In that case, I think they'd just go for causing maximum destruction, without any real intent to follow up with invasion and occupation.
I'd think that a better comparison would be the German population of East Prussia in 1945. Civilians running in terror rather than an evacuation of military troops.
The Divine One and his apostles by their weakness are creating this pending disaster. The North Koreans may feel that the time for attack will never be better. There is a distinct possibility that this administration would abjectly surrender-though call it by another name.
Time will tell.
Five days prior on July 27th and while only 17yrs old he was at the Hadong Ambush.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hadong_Ambush
On his birthday he wrote this to his mother (I have the letter here, copying):
"Dear Mom and Dad,
I finally got around to writing you a letter. I would have wrote sooner but I didn't have a chance. I have been very busy for the past month. And there was no place to mail the letter. I have been in Korea for the past month but I am OK.
Our unit was hit pretty bad and there are only about 400 of us left.
It goes on from there. It was the first knowledge that my grandparents had of him being there, thinking he was still in Okinawa.
This is not nearly as bad as the losses the 24th Infantry Div suffered in the first 3 months of that war...being the first one's there. That entire division had only 184 surviving members after 3 months.
We cannot waste that sacrifice.
LOL! If the NEO’s wait until the artillery shelling starts, then it’s not an evacuation - it’s a mass panic scramble of the survivors. And NORK special forces will be between them and the Southern ports, waiting to inflict more mayhem death and panic