When Lakin started on this journey, I went back and looked at the half-dozen or so enlisted men (and one officer) that have been convicted at court-martial for similar offenses when they refused to deploy to George Bush's "illegal war" (or so they alleged). Generally, their punishment included confinement between 3-9 months, some punitive discharge and some forfeiture.
The one officer, Watahda(sp?) of course, skated because of the incompetence of the MJ. However, in my experience, officers generally are treated a bit more harshly when they're convicted of disciplinary offenses - like Articles 87 & 92.
I think Lakin, or any officer convicted for 87 and 92 would have seen 6-mos confinement, possible(probable) dismissal and at least some forfeiture. And, even without dismissal, eventual AdminSep a close to a certainty as you can get when convicted at GCM.
1335: The members have sent for lunch to be brought in and will resume their deliberations shortly.
One update on courtroom personnel: Mr. Puckett has another case he has to attend to, in Italy, and has — with the consent of the excused — been excused from the remainder of the trial. The military counsel assigned to the defense team, MAJ Kemkes, will handle any further matters at trial and post-trial. Depending on the sentence, LTC Lakin may also be assigned military appellate counsel.