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Little Ice Age And Expanding Arctic Ice -“Climate Forecasts Will Have To Be Thrown In The Dustbin”
Notrickszone.com ^ | 14. Dezember 2010 | P Gosselin on

Posted on 12/15/2010 10:45:27 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach

The cold now sweeping over Europe and other parts of the globe are due to natural cycles, says German meteorologist Thomas Globig. He points out that the first 2 weeks of December in Britain have been the coldest since the last little ice age 350 years ago, and claims some climate models have criminally under-estimated solar influence on climate and that we ought to expect colder winters, and expanding Arctic ice in the years ahead. 

“Some climate forecasts will have to be thrown in the dustbin.”

All the talk and hype among the clueless masses have been, and still is, about global warming due to human emissions of CO2. Will the temperature rise be 2°C, 4°C or 10°C? Will we be able to avert the climate catastrophe?

Yes, it all sounds like a really bad B-rated movie. But it’s not – it’s all junk science produced by green activists. Ignore it. Dr Benny Peiser here brings our attention to an essay posted at wetter.t-online.de here.

The talk of this essay is not about warming, but of drastic cooling. According to wetter.info:

‘The year 2010 will be the coldest in ten years for Germany,’ says Thomas Globig of the Meteomedia weather service in a discussion with wetter.info.

Now it’s sure: temperatures in Germany this year have averaged 8.1 °C, or 0.2°C below the long-term measured average of 8.3°C.  ‘I’m afraid that by the end of the year, we are going to end up much lower,’ says Globig.”

Us sceptics know that climate goes in cycles. Back in the 60s and 70s Europe got a lot of snow. Then it got milder – due to man-made global warming! – all the government funded scientists opportunistically chimed in. But lo and behold, it’s getting colder again. People have been caught off guard says Globig.

The sun will be decreasing in activity over the coming decades.

Why is it getting cooler?

Globig attributes it to natural cycles: mainly the large-scale changes in the air flow over the Atlantic and fluctuating solar activity. There are Lows near the Azores and Highs in the North Atlantic, which means cold Arctic air is getting pumped down across Europe. “The weather situation has been turned up on its head,” says Globig.

Oh – but this is all due to man’s disruption of the weather, the alarmists will tell you. It’s actually abnormal! Not so, says Globig:

This change in the so-called North Atlantic Oscillation is completely normal - only that they are difficult to forecast in detail.’ With storm Kyrill in 2007, it was the peak of air mass flow from the warmer Atlantic into the European region.

Globig points out:

 Since then, the weather over the Atlantic has gotten calmer.”

Calmer weather over the Atlantic? Time for the climatologists to bring their crystal balls in for a major recalibration. Their crackpot models predicted just the opposite.

The NAO has switched. That means we ought to expect more cold winters in the years ahead. That’s right – forget warming. Ignore all the morons in the mainstream media.

These low temperatures could continue for a few years, maybe decades. Even icier winters can’t be ruled out. ‘This has occurred before in the past, and has to do with natural climate changes,’ says Globig. We could even be at the start of a little ice age, ‘the probability is there.’

It has to do with solar activity, according to wetter-t-online.de:

It has gone past its high point of its 200-year high-phase and will decrease over the coming decades. Around the year 2040/2050, scientists calculate there will be a new so-called solar minimum, that means much less feed-in of solar energy into the Earth’s atmosphere.

And when that happens, it means colder times ahead. And that means colder poles, which means expanding Arctic ice. Like Joe Bastardi, and probaly hundreds, if not thousands, of meteorologists, Globig thinks so too.

‘I find it quite plausible that Arctic ice will expand considerably over the next year,’ says Globig. ‘The influence of solar activity on climate has been criminally under-estimated.’

 ’We will really know what is in store for us in the next five to seven years,’ Globig believes. Indeed one thing appears to be very probable for meteorologists: ‘We will have to throw some climate forecasts into the dustbin.’

Today, I can practically tell who gets their longterm forecasts from whom. I went to a home & garden center today to buy a snow shovel – they were all sold out. The next shipment? At the end of January! How much worse can you get?

Tomorrow I will call the headquarters of this home & garden center to see if I can find out where they are getting their forecasts. I’ll bet you they are getting them from the warmist DWD German Weather Service.
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Update: Let’s throw this in, too! http://www.populartechnology.net/2010/12/1000-references-of-global-cooling.html (h/t Climate Scam)



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechange; globalcooling; globalwarminghoax; ipcc; un
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To: palmer; All

I worded it poorly. I should have said a reduction in spuper salty water due to much less freezing of surface ice, thereby resulting in much less sinking of super salty water and thereby causing slowing of the NAO circulation.


81 posted on 12/15/2010 11:15:41 PM PST by gleeaikin
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To: gleeaikin

I also worded poorly. The NAO is actually atmospheric, not oceanic. But I brought it up because it is keeping the Arctic warmer this year. But I don’t think it is so much warmer to have a major effect on ice.


82 posted on 12/16/2010 4:48:00 AM PST by palmer (Cooperating with Obama = helping him extend the depression and implement socialism.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
“Some climate forecasts will have to be thrown in the dustbin.”

It makes me mad every time I hear about them trying to forecast the future climate, that's not science, especially when you don't understand any of the variables or if you completely miss certain key variables.

It occurs to me that the very nature of creating computer models to predict climate is a means to look like you're doing something with government grant money.

You can put in any group of numbers and out pops a hockey stick! OMG! Global warming! Climate change! Need more money to study!

Yeah, it's a perpetuating scam and you don't have to really do anything but punch in garbage to come up with neat looking doom-graphs that prove more money is needed to study it.

83 posted on 12/16/2010 5:22:26 AM PST by Brett66 (Where government advances, and it advances relentlessly , freedom is imperiled -Janice Rogers Brown)
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To: jda
"But, wait a minute, there weren't any people around then on which to blame the climate change, so how could it have possibly happened???"

Well, they sort of have. Some scientists claim that we are long overdue for the start of the next ice age (by a few thousand years), but that the start of it has been prevented by the human discovery of large-scale irrigated farming (specifically of rice). Turns out that rice fields pump out large quantities of methane (which is a FAR more potent greenhouse gas than CO2), which they postulate has actually prevented the onset of the NIA.

84 posted on 12/16/2010 7:47:17 AM PST by Wonder Warthog
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
"Little Ice Age And Expanding Arctic Ice"


85 posted on 12/16/2010 2:30:36 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (If you're going to deny my 1st Amendment rights then I must proceed to the 2nd one...)
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
Think about a greenhouse. A greenhouse is a little warmer than the average temperature of the ambient air. However, temperature fluctuation is moderated. That is, when it is cold outside, a greenhouse will only get cool. When it is hot outside, the greenhouse will only be warm...

Well, no...leave a car in the sun with the windows rolled up, and you'll have an example of the greenhouse effect.

86 posted on 12/16/2010 8:28:55 PM PST by gogeo ("Every one has a right to be an idiot. He abuses the privilege!" Groucho Marx)
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To: palmer; All

To be technical I guess we are talking about NADW (North Atlantic Deep Water)


87 posted on 12/17/2010 1:14:53 AM PST by gleeaikin
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To: gogeo

A greenhouse is a better example, because it is the humidity in the greenhouse that helps mitigate temperatures.

An enclosed car is more like a description of the gas laws, but with temperature as the only variable. Hotter outside equals hotter inside.

The atmosphere is not a limited, closed system. Half the Earth is in darkness when the other half is in light, and humidity and water, both in the air and bodies of water, can both reflect radiation back into space and trap it near the surface. High clouds tend to trap heat, and low clouds tend to reflect radiation back out into space.


88 posted on 12/17/2010 5:41:52 AM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: EBH
Oh fur cryin’ outloud ...

can anyone say...

Eyjafjallajokull

I was taught by an Icelander:

A-ya
Feeyatla (the t is kind of a rolling d/t sound)
yokul

Glad to be of service. ;o)

89 posted on 01/06/2011 4:37:07 AM PST by SW6906 (6 things you can't have too much of: sex, money, firewood, horsepower, guns and ammunition.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Looks like I picked a good year to buy a snow blower...beat the rush and all that.


90 posted on 01/06/2011 4:44:02 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Smokin' Joe

The high desert above the Cajon Pass had a few inches over the New Year Holiday.


91 posted on 01/06/2011 9:25:25 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: EBH
can anyone say...
Eyjafjallajokull

errr...Not me.

92 posted on 01/06/2011 9:58:34 AM PST by pgkdan (Protect and Defend America! End the practice of islam on our shores before it's too late!)
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