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Time to Split the Baby (A solution to the Air Force’s tanker woes.)
The Weekly Standard ^ | Dec 13, 2010 | JOHN NOONAN

Posted on 12/07/2010 7:43:52 AM PST by sukhoi-30mki

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1 posted on 12/07/2010 7:43:58 AM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Makes too much sense. Thus it cannot be allowed to happen.


2 posted on 12/07/2010 7:51:24 AM PST by spetznaz (Nuclear-tipped Ballistic Missiles: The Ultimate Phallic Symbol)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Ok I have a question...Why if we originally built KC-135s and KC-10s why can’t we just use those molds and make some more. I mean if the United States Taxpayer paid for these airplanes once why can’t we do it again...I mean we do own these molds...don’t we?


3 posted on 12/07/2010 8:02:19 AM PST by US Navy Vet
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To: sukhoi-30mki

I am all for a split buy if they double the procurement budget. The KC-X contract calls for 15 aircraft per year, way too slow.

15 KC-767s and 15 KC-45s would be a nice pace, and easily funded with unspent TARP money.


4 posted on 12/07/2010 8:15:14 AM PST by Yo-Yo (Is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: US Navy Vet

nice thought, but with very few exceptions, aircraft are not made from “molds” but I think you may have hit on an idea there.


5 posted on 12/07/2010 8:20:05 AM PST by Iron head mike (The government will soon make criminals of us all.)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Only a small difference in load, not enough to split the fleet, however there is a huge difference in quality and reliability. The Boeing product is far superior to Airbus.

The Airbus would be sitting on the ramp broke, waiting for parts. It’s an over engineered, overpriced piece of junk, a throw away a/c that breaks up into tiny little pieces.

The Boeing… a 767 is proven, with much higher reliability and lower maintenance cost. Just make sure to hang Pratts on it.

For the military there is but one intelligent choice… Boeing 767 / Pratts


6 posted on 12/07/2010 8:20:32 AM PST by Java4Jay
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To: US Navy Vet
Ok I have a question...Why if we originally built KC-135s and KC-10s why can’t we just use those molds and make some more. I mean if the United States Taxpayer paid for these airplanes once why can’t we do it again...I mean we do own these molds...don’t we?

I'm sure that Chevrolet owns the molds for '55 Bel-Aires, but they're not going to simply just crank out more whenever they feel like it.

KC-135s haven't been built since the 1960s. KC-10s the 1980s.

This KC-X competition was supposed to take an off-the-shelf airliner airframe and modify it for the tanker role, which in theory should have been much easier, cheaper, and faster than trying to restart production on a 50 year old airframe.

Unfortunately, whenever the Pentagon buys a new something, they go overboard with the "it's also gotta have..."-itis, cramming so much new technology into the airframe that it takes years to figure it all out.

If all you want is a simple tanker, both the KC-767 and the KC-30 are ready today. If you want a boom that must deliver x amount more fuel then the existing models, then we get this long drawn out competition that is in its third iteration.

7 posted on 12/07/2010 8:21:08 AM PST by Yo-Yo (Is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: Java4Jay

So why did the USAF select the Airbus product in 2008???


8 posted on 12/07/2010 8:31:20 AM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: US Navy Vet
“Molds” isn't the right language, but you are right about the government owning the designs. And it could put out an RFP on a contract to build more of the same of either or both designs.

Someone with more background than I should weigh in regarding the specs of the KC-10, KC-135 and KC-X, but I suspect that in the design universe of payload-speed-range, the KC-X is asking for more than either of the previous designs could deliver. I'm good with that concept. The USAF should have the best idea of what kind of tanker they need in the 21st century.

The bigger problem is twofold. First, USAF has totally screwed the pooch in its attempts to award a contract. I've seen it done badly any number of times, but I've never seen it done this badly and this consistently for a given procurement. Second, this ENTIRE procurement is about politics and lying to the American people. The morning drive in the DC area is an amazing experience. In addition to the madness on the highways, we get radio ads for government procurement. Computer services, ships, and aircraft are hawked like they were just the most normal thing to be spending your money on, don't you know. Lately, the Boeing ads have been incredible half-truths and apples v. bananas comparisons between their design and the EADS plane. Whether the subject is the percentage of American content, whether Americans or foreigners will be building the plane, or any other topic - the fact that Boeing is now a Chicago-based company is pretty obvious. About the only thing they haven't done is to publicly threaten to kneecap someone. As an example (and I don't have the current figures), most Americans are probably not aware that in the original proposals the EADS plane would have had more American content and American labor hours than the Boeing plane, and OBTW, it carried more fuel to dispense to its fighter-customers.

9 posted on 12/07/2010 8:32:21 AM PST by Pecos (Liberty and Honor will not die on my watch.)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Why buy new tankers when you can spend the billions on extended unemployment benefits instead? It just doesn’t make any sense! /s/


10 posted on 12/07/2010 8:32:39 AM PST by Gritty (Liberals never, ever drop a heinous idea; they just change the name - Ann Coulter)
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To: sukhoi-30mki
Please read the GAO report, or just read the summary: http://www.gao.gov/press/press-boeing2008jun18_3.pdf

Unfair decision where major mistakes were made in the selection process.

Additionally, please read why we are now headed to that same unfair decision (again):

http://www.lexingtoninstitute.org/tanker-wars—why-boeing-is-losing?a=1&c=1171

Senior executives at Boeing have grown pessimistic about their prospects for prevailing in the latest Air Force tanker competition. Their counterparts at competitors EADS — the parent company of Airbus — are correspondingly confident. This is surprising, because the Boeing entry in the competition has much lower life-cycle costs than the bigger EADS entry, while still carrying much more fuel than the plane it would replace. Many observers thought that when Northrop Grumman dropped out of the tanker competition and EADS had to go it along, the European company would be hobbled in competing against Boeing. So what went wrong for Boeing?

The biggest thing that went wrong was that the Air Force chose to ignore a ruling by the world's preeminent trade body that Airbus has engaged in a 40-year pattern of predatory business practices to expand its share of the commercial transport market. The reason this matters is that the two rivals are both offering modified airliners in their tanker proposals, and the Airbus entry was built using $5.7 billion in illegal subsidies. By failing to take that finding into account, the Air Force has enabled Airbus to price its plane more aggressively than any purely commercial company could, leveling what otherwise would have been a huge disparity in the acquisition cost of the two planes.

A second and related factor is that the Air Force has calculated the post-production life-cycle cost of the Airbus plane using assumptions that tend to minimize the higher cost of operating a bigger plane. Because the EADS entry has 40 more feet of wingspan than the Boeing plane and corresponding greater weight, it burns over a ton more fuel per flight hour. Its dimensions are so much bigger than those of the Eisenhower-era tankers being replaced that the Air Force will need to modify hangars and other ground infrastructure to accommodate the EADS plane. But Boeing's team is convinced the Air Force has failed to capture the full life-cycle burden of fuel and construction for the bigger plane, and thus made the Airbus transport look more affordable than it really is.

A third factor is the calculation of warfighting effectiveness ratings — the metrics which the Air Force inadvertently released to the wrong teams last month. As in the first round of competition, the complex warfighting model used to calculate effectiveness in stressing wartime scenarios continues to favor the larger Airbus plane due to its greater fuel-carrying capacity. But what many outside observers have failed to note is that the success of the EADS entry in that comparison is tied directly to the fact that its planes were allowed to access bases denied to the Boeing planes. The Airbus tanker literally cannot complete the specified missions without access to those bases, and yet Boeing was not allowed access in the modeling of comparative wartime performance.

A fourth factor weighing against Boeing in the comparisons is a pattern of allowances made for the EADS entry that amounted to bending the rules to keep its proposal viable. First, the Air Force delayed the deadline for the EADS proposal. Second, it allowed EADS to respond late to engineering inquiries from evaluators. Third, it deleted a performance requirement concerning secure communications from the solicitation because EADS could not meet it. Fourth, it waived duties on the importation of certain key parts required in the EADS plane. Finally, it sought to minimize EADS wrongdoing in viewing competition-sensitive information that Boeing did not view. Cumulatively, these various instances can be construed as a pattern of bias favoring the European team.

Boeing has not concluded from all this that the tanker competition is irretrievably lost, but I have. When the customer allows a team to bid below cost by leveraging illegal subsidies, understates operational cost differences, permits only one team to access key bases in warfighting models, and repeatedly bends rules in favor a particular side, the outcome is obvious. The question is what Boeing intends to do about it.

Loren B. Thompson, Ph.D.

11 posted on 12/07/2010 8:41:37 AM PST by Hulka
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To: Pecos
USAF has totally screwed the pooch in its attempts to award a contract. I've seen it done badly any number of times, but I've never seen it done this badly and this consistently for a given procurement.

Ditto! Remember this goes back well over 10 years. The USAF almost had Boeing continuing the 767 line for this and other platforms (including a Joint STARS/AWACS variant), but the entire effort started over after the scandal with that female General. She went to jail if I am not mistaken. I was OK with the competition for the KC-X until Northrop Grumman dropped out. Now it has to be Boeing, IMHO.

12 posted on 12/07/2010 8:44:11 AM PST by Never on my watch (This is a revolution d@mmit, we're going to have to offend SOMEbody! (Adams character - 1776))
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To: sukhoi-30mki

More jobs with an Airbus ?

More jobs for military mechanics. The dispatch rate is horrible, will sit broken out in the cold, and won’t fit in our hangars. It’s a piece of crap.

The Boeing 767 is a perfect choice.


13 posted on 12/07/2010 8:51:06 AM PST by Java4Jay
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To: Java4Jay

Do you have a dog in this fight?


14 posted on 12/07/2010 8:54:49 AM PST by I-ambush (I didn't think, I never dreamed, that I would be around to see it all come true-McCartney and Wings)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Goofy, only our government would by a car too big to fit in the garage.


15 posted on 12/07/2010 8:56:18 AM PST by Java4Jay
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Goofy, only our government would by a car too big to fit in the garage.


16 posted on 12/07/2010 8:56:49 AM PST by Java4Jay
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Goofy, only our government would buy a car too big to fit in the garage.


17 posted on 12/07/2010 8:57:22 AM PST by Java4Jay
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To: Never on my watch; Pecos
Don't forget the corruption at Boeing, too.

Little Tommy "Tax Cheat" Daschle's wife Linda was a paid Boeing lobbyist for the over priced leased 767s deal, iirc.

18 posted on 12/07/2010 8:57:33 AM PST by Calvin Locke
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To: I-ambush

Nope, just 28 years of experience


19 posted on 12/07/2010 8:58:43 AM PST by Java4Jay
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To: I-ambush

Just hoping they purchase ‘the best tool for the job’

The Boeing 767 is a far superior product. Newer design doesn’t mean it’s better.

The Airbus was built for the airlines to save fuel cost. It’s too lightweight for military purposes.

It has all the bells and whisles but in the end will sit broke when the 767 keeps on truckin’

KISS’


20 posted on 12/07/2010 9:06:15 AM PST by Java4Jay
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