No, not a trader. But options traders need to have an idea of direction. I don’t know how you can come up with any rational idea which way it will go. For one thing the Federal Gov still will own a big block. There are a million ways for them to manipulate the price from selling from their hoard to high officials talking the stock up or down.
I think this one is like playing roulette in an unlicensed casino.
If, as seems likely, this IPO attracts a lot of interest (thank you, Mr. Barnum!), the IVs of the oppies will equally likely be skewed higher for at least a while. This will present opportunities in both calendar spreads and diagonals, and to some extent ratio-spreads and ratio-writes.