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To: Beowulf9
They'll continue to trade with us, so long as we're willing to pay the higher prices, or they are willing to devalue their currency.
OPEC Has Already Turned to the Euro
GoldMoney Alert
February 18, 2004
...The source for the euro exchange rate is the Federal Reserve, and I have calculated the euro's average exchange rate to the dollar for each year based on daily data.

US Imports of Crude oil
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Year
Quantity (thousands of barrels)
Value (thousands of US dollars)
Unit price (US dollars)
Average daily US$ per € exchange rate
Unit price (euros)

2001

3,471,066
74,292,894
21.40
0.8952
23.91
2002
3,418,021
77,283,329
22.61
0.9454
23.92
2003
3,673,596
99,094,675
26.97
1.1321
23.82
We can see from column (4) in the above table that in 2001, each barrel of imported crude oil cost $21.40 on average for that year. But by 2003 the average price of a barrel of crude oil had risen 26.0% to $26.97 per barrel. However, the important point is shown in column (6). Note that the price of crude oil in terms of euros is essentially unchanged throughout this 3-year period.

As the dollar has fallen, the dollar price of crude oil has risen. But the euro price of crude oil remains essentially unchanged throughout this 3-year period. It does not seem logical that this result is pure coincidence. It is more likely the result of purposeful design, namely, that OPEC is mindful of the dollar's decline and increases the dollar price of its crude oil by an amount that offsets the loss in purchasing power OPEC's members would otherwise incur. In short, OPEC is protecting its purchasing power as the dollar declines.

29 posted on 11/14/2010 1:08:58 PM PST by SunkenCiv (The 2nd Amendment follows right behind the 1st because some people are hard of hearing.)
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To: SunkenCiv

I am not sure OPEC has that kind of pricing power, and I’m not sure why you didn’t show beyond 2003.

To me it proves the dollar has fallen vs oil and the Euro, whereas, at least until 2003, the Euro was holding its own and preserving it’s value.

What I found interesting about the G-20 was that Obama ran for President criticizing President Bush and alienating our allies and he went to the G 20 summit alienated our allies and defended going it alone on economic policy!!!

Eventually this could harm our national defense and invite aggression.

Translation: Bad world economy via U.S. = WW3


30 posted on 11/14/2010 1:32:56 PM PST by Beowulf9
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