Why do you insist on jumping to the conclusion of such technical, far-fetched, complicated explanation rather than simple ordinary natural phenomena? As a student of the Sherlock Holmes school of Occam's Razor, I prefer the MHEB theory. You know what his attitude on criminolgoy is: once you've ruled out the most complicated conclusions in decending order, the simplest explanation, however likely it may be, MUST be the truth.
Can’t argue with the methodology, just the conclusion. MHEB never travels in a straight line.