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To: Pete
I agree with you. Intrade is kind of throwing me this time. Democraps holding the senate is at 50 right now, which is up 5 today.

Also, Murray in WA is going up, which seems contrary to the numbers on the ground. Makes me wonder if Intrade speculators are really just guessing that fraud in King County will be huge. I truly think the cheating will only work if Rossi isn't up by three or more.

Beyond that they can't pull it off.

Also, I am a little surprised that Boxer's numbers at Intrade are so high. Around 90. That race seems like it could really go either way depending on today's turnout.

18 posted on 11/02/2010 10:16:52 AM PDT by Clump (the tree of liberty is withering like a stricken fig tree)
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To: Clump

What happened in San Francisco is very relevant.

The Giants won the World Series. There were riots.
All those people are, if not rioting, partying. And they’re all taking the day off. And they will be voting. Because their star pitcher, Linsicum(sp?) said, I think, “Vote Yes on Prop 19” or made some pro marijuana statement. And everybody in San Fran is going to vote. And it’s not because of Boxer or Fiorina or Brown or Whitman. It’s because of the Giants, and Linsicum and Prop 19. These are extremely enthused voters. They’re enthused about the Giants, but enthused nonetheless. And Prop 19 gives them a reason to go vote. I looked at California polls a while ago. As I recall, Whitman did comparatively better among young people than Fiorina, so Fiorina is more likely to be hurt by enthused young Giants / Prop 19 votes.


58 posted on 11/02/2010 11:07:38 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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