Turn out is everything.
If news of big Republican wins start in the East, it very well could depress and suppress the Boxer support.
That's exactly what I've been saying, but:
1. There's no guarantee that the news from the East will be all THAT great, and
2. Even if Rat turnout is down in CA, we shouldn't be surprised if a little California style vote fraud puts Babs over the top. I can see this one ending with about a 49-47 margin, but there is a chance -- a small one -- that the good guy gets the 49.