Here’s a fun fact for you O’Donnell naysayers from a friend that works in the Dem party on the east coast.
The DNC internal polls conducted out of the New Jersey Dem party had this race 48%-44% (within 4%) on Thursday afternoon. Coons is losing independents and O’Donnell has gained significantly in Dem votes. She leads in Sussex and Kent counties and has shaved off 10% of Coons lead in New Castle County. Uncommitted’s are still very high.
The thinking is that if Dems maintain a turnout of under 35% and Republicans capture a 40-45% turnout among conservative independents and GOP voters, then she will likely win. Its a turnout battle.
That is why Obama is coming back in to Delaware. Remember these polls were taken several days ago, before several interviews and the Gawker story, but trending in O’Donnell’s favor.
Help with GOTV is what is needed. If you have time, volunteer the GOTV phone bank, instead of armchair criticism of a winnable race. This is all within the ‘margin of turnout.’
Thanks for the good info. C'mon Delaware, turnout in droves!
“The thinking is that if Dems maintain a turnout of under 35% and Republicans capture a 40-45% turnout among conservative independents and GOP voters, then she will likely win. Its a turnout battle.”
Based on my observations of the race, I see that turnout differential not only as attainable, but as a minimum (based on the intensity of her support)
What you said about Phone banking is true, as well as financial support for those who are not called to phone bank.
Thanks for the anecdotal evidence. It certainly jibes with my observations of this race.
If this race is winnable for COD, look for a last-ditch effort to sabotage it...like the media reporting that they’ve called it for Coons, two hours before the polls close. Or even misstating the hour they close. Or any other funny business they can drum up.