I could not stop myself from giving him more $ even as late as today. Why? I’m beginning to see an enormous tsunami on the horizon while the jackasses are all down on the beach.
Every so often there are numbers out there that make me think that “enormous tsunami” is a real possibility. “tsunami” is pretty much a given.
The key is turnout as everyone says.
Here’s something from a recent poll in Maine.
it’s 40 - 21 - 21. LePage the Republican with 40. A D and an I at 21.
But pollsters are having a tough time determining who is going to vote. It always does require some guessing.
This particular poll asked about “enthusiasm”. 70% of LePages are “more” enthusiastic. The other candidates have 40% “more” enthusiastic.
And who is the most likely to vote - more enthusiastic.
So, assuming a 70% turnout for LePage and 40% for the others, that gives 54 Lepage, 19 Mitchell, 19 Cutler
Small or big, differences in turnout can have huge implications. That 70/40 split is not reflected in the polling results either. (However, they might possibly have
oversampled Republicans - I know, a rarety - as the early voting is favoring Dems slightly, and they have more Rs than Ds) It’s very possible that they have that right on the money though, trying to make the best guess about the tsunami effect.
yep my wife and I are like “honey would you rather go shopping or help our side in the crunch?”
and she makes the right call