In North Carolina, a race that has mainly escaped national attention, Richard Burr has put himself in position to be the first Senator to win re-election in that seat in decades. Elaine Marshall trails by 15 while Burr gets over the 50% mark in the latest Survey USA poll:
In an election for US Senator from North Carolina today, 10/26/10, 1 week until votes are counted, incumbent Republican Richard Burr defeats Democrat Elaine Marshall 53% to 38%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WRAL-TV in Raleigh.
The contest is closer than it was 6 weeks ago, when an identical SurveyUSA WRAL-TV poll found Burr up 24 points; today Burr is up 15. In the end, Marshall cannot overcome the fact that 1 in 4 Democrats statewide cross-over and vote Republican, and that Independents break 2:1 against her.
In fact, Burr tied Marshall in the Raleigh area, usually a Democratic stronghold, 45/45. Marshall has had a strong headwind in this race named Barack Obama, who has become highly unpopular in a state he won in 2008. Obama has a -20 favorability rating in the state, 34/54. Burr even wins 22% of the African-American vote, a result that should have the White House worried about their re-election chances. Burr wins every age demographic and every income demographic as well.
I cannot believe ANYONE would vote FOR boxer or brown.
The Fiorina lead is actually a huge help to Whitman, since it’s highly unlikely any Fiorina voters are gonna cast ballots for Brown too.
A crapola LA Times poll once again with an unrealistic Democratic turn-out model showing a 2008-level of Democratic turnout. Sorry, a Reuter's poll has it a 1 point race. Anyway, mission accomplished with the LA Times poll with all the idiot media slobs declaring this race is over. The RNC would not have put $5 million into this race in the last 2 weeks if they thought Fiorina was losing. The claim they're doing it "because they must" is patent nonsense. They don't have to do anything. Also, Dick Morris is predicting a Fiorina win.
The pollsters don't want to let out too much information before they have to.
By Monday it will be clear that the Senate is going GOP as well.
I would think cellphones users (without home telephones) are younger voters and therefore far more unreliable.
It seems to me by using this type of methodology the pollsters are doing all they can to make it appear Boxer has a chance-she doesn't.