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To: topher

Also makes you question a lot of the recent polls that supposedly show senate and governors races moving in the Dems favor..it’s counterintuitive..like in Ohio, wherethe GOP will pick up FIVE Dems House seats, yet they say that Strickland is even with Kasich..so way...Every time the House has changed hands, the Senate also goes, and it’s gonna happen again thisa year..


3 posted on 10/24/2010 7:38:32 PM PDT by ken5050 (I don't need sex.....the government screws me every day..)
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To: ken5050
As soon as this election is over, then people have to start working on 2012 and 2014. The Democrats are in real trouble in those two elections in the Senate.

Even if we get someone like Sarah Palin in 2012 as President, and have a solid majority in the House, we still need 56 or more Senate Seats to make up for the RINO's in the Senate such as the two women from Maine as well as other liberal GOP Senators.

7 posted on 10/24/2010 7:43:43 PM PDT by topher (For handmade rosaries -- http://www.louisiana.edu/~cmh5722/rosaries4u)
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To: ken5050
senate and governors races are state wide... while house seats are heavily gerrymandered (by federal law) to ensure that at least a few blacks are elected to congress.

Which means that a huge percentage of Obama supporters are concentrated into just a handful of districts nationwide.

Obama’s approval right now is only about 36% when the black racist vote is not included, which explains why the house numbers look so bad compared to the senate presently.

21 posted on 10/24/2010 9:59:44 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama = Epic Fail)
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To: ken5050
Also makes you question a lot of the recent polls that supposedly show senate and governors races moving in the Dems favor

What you are seeing is a common ploy by pollsters that happens every election. As the election draws near, they have the polls close up, hopefully to within the "margin of error" (3-4%) so that if the outcome/winner is different than their polling numbers, they can preserve their credibility by claiming it was too close to call.

Remember, polling is their paycheck, and they won't get hired if their track record is lousy. So there is a premium to get the final results within that margin of error band so that their reputations are preserved.

25 posted on 10/24/2010 10:23:43 PM PDT by oldbill
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To: ken5050

Yeah, but note the PA poll today that showed Toomey gaining eight points SINCE THE POLL STARTED and now with a solid, but not overwhelming, lead.


28 posted on 10/25/2010 4:20:02 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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