[fortheDeclaration]

Intrade is only as good as the suppositions guiding those investing the money.

They are not taking into account the simple fact that the Senate races cannot be seen in a vacuum.

Do they think that the Democrats are going to be devastated in Congressional races and in Governors races and NOT the Senate as well?

Watch the odds change as the election draws closer.

[freedomrings69]

They show losses for Dems in Florida, Colorado, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Colorado. Outside of Delaware and California, and Connecticut I don’t see them showing Dems winning. If the Republicans win closer ones such as Penn, WAshington, Wisconsin, etc. they have a very good shot at 50.

[justlurking]

Do they think that the Democrats are going to be devastated in Congressional races and in Governors races and NOT the Senate as well?

Don't forget that the number of contested Senate seats favors the Democrats this election. However, the opposite will be true in 2012 -- if the Republicans don't screw it up, they can sweep the Senate and the Presidency.

[SamAdams76]

Watch the odds change as the election draws closer.

Agreed. Intrade is pretty accurate but ten days out is still too soon to put much stock in what they are saying. Back in January, it wasn't until three days before the election (Jan 16) that Intrade had Scott Brown pulling even with Martha Coakley. By election day morning, Intrade had Scott Brown at 79%.

A week from Tuesday, Intrade will have the Congress at close to 100% to go Republican and the Senate at least 75% to go Republican.