Far be it from me to look a gift horse in the mouth, but — WHICH POLL are they citing?! Can I get a confirmation on their source?! Anyone know?
It will be released soon. Key things Christine has going for her.
-Republicans still reluctant to vote for her will likely come home on election day. They almost always do. Some may stay at home but will they show up and vote for an Obama Democrat? Probably not.
—The one thing that should be noted is Obama is still not fairing well in Delaware with his approval/disapproval nearly tied or underwater depending on the poll. People in Delaware still support repealing Obamacare and support immigration enforcement ala the Arizona law and oppose Cap and Trade.
—Will Democrat vote be as high as in 2006 or 2008? No. Most of the polls showing Christine down by double digits have captured samples that have a larger percentage of Democrats or a smaller percentage of Republicans. I suspect many Democrats are actually shifting to the independent category this election year.
—I think Christine has some appeal across party lines. Rasmussen internals in the latest poll show her getting 14% of Democrat vote and tied with independents. Her GOP vote is 73% on election day I expect that to exceed 80%. She has improved in all categories in the latest polling over her previous poll plus she still has plenty of conservative vote to harvest which is at 75% up from 69% in the previous poll. She will get more than 90% of self identified conservatives in the end.
I think election night is going to be a nail biter with Christine having an early lead.