Posted on 10/21/2010 5:51:44 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
In an election for US House of Representatives in Oregon's 5th Congressional District today, 10/20/10, Republican challenger Scott Bruun edges Democratic incumbent Kurt Schrader 51% to 41%, according to an exclusive KATU-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.
Bruun, elected to the Oregon House in 2004, runs strong among men and younger voters. Schrader is within striking distance among women and older voters. As it has in other geographies, SurveyUSA here probes to see if those who rarely vote in congressional elections, but who say they are uniquely motivated to vote in 2010, are voting Republican. One theory underlying much of the 2010 campaign narrative is that Republicans are uniquely motivated, Democrats uniquely dispirited. As SurveyUSA observed in data released 24 hours ago to KATU-TV in Oregon's 1'st Congressional District, that narrative is true here: Bruun leads 2:1 among those who rarely vote in midterms. The contest is closer among those who vote in every congressional election. A question on enthusiasm reveals: those more enthusiastic about voting in 2010 than in prior elections vote Republican 3:1; those less enthusiastic in 2010 than in prior elections vote Democrat 3:1. Among the 1 in 10 voters who have already filled out a ballot, the contest is even. Schrader's hope is that all those who told SurveyUSA they will vote but haven't yet, won't.
Edges?
Colleges these days turn out people that can’t use the English language.
ping
The Rats are shovel-ready for the dust bin of history.
Was at event with Bruun and Greg Walden yesterday. Bruun WILL win!!!! The seat I am eyeballing is the 4th. DeFazio/Robinson. Robinson is within 4% and from Walden’s mouth, DeFazio is “nervous”!!!!! I love it!!!! DeFazio is such a turd!
NICE!!!!!!
Edges?
Politico is moving it from Solid Dem to Leans Dem.
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