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Another Possible Republican Take-Away in Oregon's 5th Congressional District
SurveyUSA ^ | 10/21/2010 | Staff

Posted on 10/21/2010 5:51:44 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot

In an election for US House of Representatives in Oregon's 5th Congressional District today, 10/20/10, Republican challenger Scott Bruun edges Democratic incumbent Kurt Schrader 51% to 41%, according to an exclusive KATU-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Bruun, elected to the Oregon House in 2004, runs strong among men and younger voters. Schrader is within striking distance among women and older voters. As it has in other geographies, SurveyUSA here probes to see if those who rarely vote in congressional elections, but who say they are uniquely motivated to vote in 2010, are voting Republican. One theory underlying much of the 2010 campaign narrative is that Republicans are uniquely motivated, Democrats uniquely dispirited. As SurveyUSA observed in data released 24 hours ago to KATU-TV in Oregon's 1'st Congressional District, that narrative is true here: Bruun leads 2:1 among those who rarely vote in midterms. The contest is closer among those who vote in every congressional election. A question on enthusiasm reveals: those more enthusiastic about voting in 2010 than in prior elections vote Republican 3:1; those less enthusiastic in 2010 than in prior elections vote Democrat 3:1. Among the 1 in 10 voters who have already filled out a ballot, the contest is even. Schrader's hope is that all those who told SurveyUSA they will vote but haven't yet, won't.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Oregon
KEYWORDS: bruun; schrader
"Incumbent Schrader Trails in Bid For 2nd Term"
1 posted on 10/21/2010 5:51:50 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
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To: Palmetto Patriot
Scott Bruun edges Democratic incumbent Kurt Schrader 51% to 41%

Edges?

2 posted on 10/21/2010 6:08:47 AM PDT by kabar
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To: kabar

Colleges these days turn out people that can’t use the English language.


3 posted on 10/21/2010 6:41:14 AM PDT by SC_Pete
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To: InterceptPoint

ping


4 posted on 10/21/2010 6:54:54 AM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
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To: Palmetto Patriot
Scott Bruun Bump!

The Rats are shovel-ready for the dust bin of history.

Fire Congress-5sm

5 posted on 10/21/2010 7:14:41 AM PDT by BobP (The piss-stream media - Never to be watched again in my house)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Was at event with Bruun and Greg Walden yesterday. Bruun WILL win!!!! The seat I am eyeballing is the 4th. DeFazio/Robinson. Robinson is within 4% and from Walden’s mouth, DeFazio is “nervous”!!!!! I love it!!!! DeFazio is such a turd!


6 posted on 10/21/2010 8:09:58 AM PDT by Anti-Hillary (Pretty soon everything in this country will be "free", except it's people!)
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To: Anti-Hillary
Last poll on OR-4:

De Fasio has not received less than 61% in the last three elections. This poll shows him at 48%, up six over Robinson.

Should he be nervous?

You Betcha.

See Polling Memo here
7 posted on 10/21/2010 8:40:03 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot (Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

NICE!!!!!!


8 posted on 10/21/2010 8:44:06 AM PDT by Anti-Hillary (Pretty soon everything in this country will be "free", except it's people!)
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To: kabar
Scott Bruun edges Democratic incumbent Kurt Schrader 51% to 41%

Edges?

Politico is moving it from Solid Dem to Leans Dem.

9 posted on 10/21/2010 8:50:03 AM PDT by sportutegrl
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