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To: MissesBush
They don’t balance their demographics to get a representative sample based on party I.D. and often over-poll Democrats as a result.

Lots of pollsters do this. There's nothing wrong with that approach. Let the party ID float and you could be wrong. Try to predict the party ID and you could still be wrong. Rasmussen takes something of a hybrid approach between the two. And he could still be wrong.

21 posted on 10/18/2010 9:55:28 AM PDT by Crichton
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To: Crichton

Disagree, esp. in this election where you could more accurately balance party ID based on predicted outcome than simply letting it float. Clearly Republicans and independents are going to be more likely to turn out. The hybrid approach would be going off of actual registration numbers which is still more accurate than just letting it float.


33 posted on 10/18/2010 10:18:56 AM PDT by MissesBush (Stay angry--right through November)
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