Posted on 10/14/2010 6:55:14 PM PDT by JSDude1
November 2nd could see some big, unpleasant surprises for incumbent Democrats in the House of Representatives. Strong GOP contenders, largely unnoticed by the national media and party bigwigs, are making bold plays for seats long regarded as belonging to the Democrats.
...If the Likely Democratic and Likely Republican seats are excluded, then 99 Democratic held seats are in play, and only six Republican held seats. Nate Silver of the fivethirtyeight.com blog currently rates 39 Democrat-held seats as leaning or likely to turn over, with only two GOP seats in that category. There are another twenty Democrat-held seats he rates as an even chance for a takeover, with two GOP-held seats in that category. He rates another seventeen Democrat-held seats in the "takeover possible" category.
It is not hard with either listing of races to get to the 39 net seats the Republicans need to regain control of the House. But as some analysts, including Dick Morris, have pointed out, many races are never polled other than by the candidates themselves, since they are assumed to be safe for one party or the other. In a real wave election, even a few of the safe seats occasionally turn over on Election Day. In the RCP survey, the number of safe Democrat-held seats has been declining every week. That trend may continue.
Two races that are the focus of this article (Illinois 9 and Indiana 7), currently rated as Safe Democratic, may get more attention before November 2. In each race, the Democrat incumbent is demonstrating some real weaknesses (less than 50% favoring their reelection or planning to vote for them in surveys taken for the GOP challengers). In addition, Republicans are in good shape at the top of the ticket in each state (governor's race in Illinois, Senate race in Indiana),
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
http://www.drmarvinscottforcongress.com/index.php
or/and
http://www.pollakforcongress.com/
(Indiana is my hope state-and I hope we have a HUGE majority in the U.S. House caucus this year, I know Mike Pence and Dan Burton need re-enforcements).
If we had a clean sweep and kicked out both Andre Carson and Pete Viscloski it would be icing on the cake for me on election day evening!!
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