Experts Say The ‘Big One’ Will Be Even Bigger

CBS) ^ | October 10, 2010 9:35 AM

[BenLurkin]

The 340-mile, southern section of the San Andreas fault could slip at anytime, triggering a massive, magnitude 8.1 quake, researchers announced Sunday.

A report in the August issue of Geology by researchers at UC Irvine and Arizona State University suggest the fault is long overdue for a major quake — running from Monterey County to the Salton Sea, the Los Angeles Times reported.

The last major rupture on the San Andreas was in 1857.

Until recently, experts believed that the section of the fault through the Carrizo Plain, located approximately 100 miles northwest of Los Angeles, would remain dormant for at least another century.

Not according to the latest research.

“The next earthquake could be sooner than later,” said Lisa Grant Ludwig of UC Irvine, who helped write the study.

U.S. Geological Survey seismologist Lucy Jones, who was not involved in the study, said it was possible that the entire southern San Andreas fault could rupture.

Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Center, calculated that would produce a magnitude-8.1 quake. Jones said that figure sounds about right.

The northern section of the fault, which begins north of Parkfield and ends in San Benito County, tends to move at a constant creep. And because stress is relieved regularly, large quakes don’t occur there, The Times reported.

[MrEdd]

[skeeter]

There could be a 10.0 anywhere else in California but if it doesn’t happen in LA it won’t be called the ‘Big One’.

[max americana]

They;re talking about Nov 2, right?

[Keith in Iowa]

If Pelosi can be anywhere near it, and fall into a giant fissure never to be seen again, I’m ok with that.

[airborne]

“The next earthquake could be sooner than later,” said Lisa Grant Ludwig of UC Irvine, who helped write the study.

And to think that we pay people for this "brilliant" bull$#!t !!!

[mazda77]

“The next earthquake could be sooner than later,” said Lisa Grant Ludwig of UC Irvine, who helped write the study. U.S. Geological Survey seismologist Lucy Jones, who was not involved in the study, said it was possible that the entire southern San Andreas fault could rupture.

Teaming up for the next grant?

[Willie Green]

“The next earthquake could be sooner than later,” said Lisa Grant Ludwig of UC Irvine, who helped write the study.

Then again, there's always the possibility that it could be later than sooner.
It all depends on which one comes first, sooner or later or later or sooner.

But it's a pretty safe bet that Lisa's Nobel Prize is gonna be later, not sooner.

[righttackle44]

Ho, ho. Duct tape’s got this one.

[MAD-AS-HELL]

Along with all the nitwit leftist retreads..including those in Hollyweird. :)

[BenLurkin]

Exactly. So whatever you do, do NOT stock up on water, food, ammo, or prescription medications.

[tommyboy]

"...when herein and forever hereafter, the party of the first part in this document shall be known as the party of the first part."

She sounds like Groucho, Chico and Harpo all rolled into one. (-;

[My Favorite Headache]

I see no reason for California to exist as a state in today’s world. Time for all good Christians, Conservatives, and people who love this country to bug out and move elsewhere. Stop feeding the beast.

[barbarianbabs]

I live in Ventura County, CA. NONE of my neighbors are prepared for anything.

[Parley Baer]

The Pacific Rim Ring of Fire has been very busy in the last few years. I would not be surprised at all for the San Andreas Fault to make a move in the next 10 years. There has been a whole lot of shaken going on around it but none on the fault itself. A little too quiet.

[Alex Murphy]

Then again, there's always the possibility that it could be later than sooner.
It all depends on which one comes first, sooner or later or later or sooner.
But it's a pretty safe bet that Lisa's Nobel Prize is gonna be later, not sooner.

DARK HELMET: What the hell am I looking at? When does this happen in the movie?
COL SANDURZ: Now. You're looking at now, sir. Everything that happens now, is happening now.
DARK HELMET: What happened to then?
COL SANDURZ: We passed then.
DARK HELMET: When?
COL SANDURZ: Just now. We're at now, now.
DARK HELMET: Go back to then.
COL SANDURZ: When?
DARK HELMET: Now.
COL SANDURZ: Now?
DARK HELMET: Now.
COL SANDURZ: I can't.
DARK HELMET: Why?
COL SANDURZ: We missed it.
DARK HELMET: When?
COL SANDURZ: Just now.
DARK HELMET: When will then be now?
COL SANDURZ: Soon.
DARK HELMET: How soon?

[HerrBlucher]

The last major rupture on the San Andreas was the 1906 San Francisco quake. The last major socal ruputure was the 1857 Fort Tejon quake.

[umgud]

Geez, that ought to take care of our oversupply of housing.

[Calvin Locke]

“The next earthquake could be sooner than later,”

I don't know about that. At one spot on the [SA]fault, large quakes were pretty regular, on the order of every twenty years.

Monitoring stations were set up to pinpoint the exact location for taking core samples after the next large quake. One didn't happen for about twenty-nine years.

Oh, and core samples revealed the slipping was occurring along a talc mineral deposit.

[BenLurkin]

Gotta be quicker, FRiend. I expected to see the “Death to California" posts within the top ten!
8^)