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Sarah Palin's 2012 Opportunity
US News and World Report's Washington Whispers ^
| September 28, 2010
| Paul Bedard and Caitlin Huey-Burns
Posted on 09/28/2010 8:55:19 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The odds-on favorite to win the GOP presidential nod in 2012 is none other than Sarah Palin, according to a statistical formula developed by Villanova University Prof. Lara Brown. The professor's figuring is bad news for presumed hopefuls like Rep. Mike Pence, Sen. Jim DeMint, ex-Gov. Mitt Romney, former Speaker Newt Gingrich, Gov. Haley Barbour, and former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton. Many simply joined the game too late, says Brown, author of the new book Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants, which studies every election since the founding. Others, like DeMint, are still brewing but won't be ready until 2016. As for Newt? "I don't think the GOP can forgive him," she says.
The book devises an "opportunism variable" based on the candidate's résumé to explain who wins the presidency and why. Palin has an advantage because she has been elected both mayor and governor. She also was a major party vice presidential nominee, giving her an enviable breadth of political experience. According to Brown, candidates who take risks and run for a variety of offices do well. It's even better if they lose a presidential race or two. "It takes about a run and a half to get there," Brown says. Pols "may think they can get it done in six months or a year, but [winning] will actually take them running, losing, and planting seeds," she says.
TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; congress; cultofpalin; demint; gingrich; iampalinhearmeroar; iquitarod; jonestownredux; mittromney; obama; odonnell; palin; palinbotsassemble; palinkoolaidfactory; palinlovefest; pdsfoundhere; rabstrollsagain; rino; romney; romney4romney; sarahmcpalin; sarahpalin; teaparty
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Sarah Palin's 2012 OpportunityTo do what? Throw the election for Obama like her mentor McCain did?
"Senator McCain and I agree on
the big picture, where it is
that the country needs to go."
FMR. AK. GOV. SARAH PALIN, 28 MAR. 2010
2
posted on
09/28/2010 8:59:32 PM PDT
by
rabscuttle385
(Live Free or Die)
To: rabscuttle385
WHO IS YOUR CANDIDATE FOR 2012?!
3
posted on
09/28/2010 9:02:15 PM PDT
by
2ndDivisionVet
(Palin/Bolton 2012)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
Ignore Rabadash, he's a third party Paul bot troll who has horrible judgement about most every thing.
4
posted on
09/28/2010 9:04:35 PM PDT
by
Lakeshark
(Thank a member of the US armed forces for their sacrifice)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
WHO IS YOUR CANDIDATE FOR 2012?!Someone whose followers aren't perpetually drunk on Kool-Aid.
5
posted on
09/28/2010 9:04:55 PM PDT
by
rabscuttle385
(Live Free or Die)
To: rabscuttle385
McCain was not a political mentor to Governor Palin, she herself is the political giant, she is creating new giants all over the nation, whom she has “mentored” to some degree, people like Christine O’Donnell.
For someone that is supposed to be interested, (in some weird, unknown way), in politics, you should know that.
6
posted on
09/28/2010 9:06:41 PM PDT
by
ansel12
([fear of Islam.] Once you are paralyzed by fear of Mohammedanism...you have lost the battle.)
To: 2ndDivisionVet; Enchante; petercooper; erod; Uncledave; Walts Ice Pick; sdpatriot; Varmint Al; ...
SARAH PALIN'S PING LIST
7
posted on
09/28/2010 9:06:47 PM PDT
by
onyx
(If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
To: rabscuttle385
Unlike you who was so perpetually drunk he supported Ron Paul and voted for Chuck "the Haitian earthquake was caused by US black ops" Baldwin.
Please go crawl back into your hole. You have little of value to say about anything.
8
posted on
09/28/2010 9:06:51 PM PDT
by
Lakeshark
(Thank a member of the US armed forces for their sacrifice)
To: rabscuttle385
This is coming from a Ron Paul supporter?
9
posted on
09/28/2010 9:08:08 PM PDT
by
bwc2221
10
posted on
09/28/2010 9:09:19 PM PDT
by
onyx
(If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
To: Lakeshark
The rest of the tin foil hat crowd will be here to join Rabs at any time. After all, this is a Palin thread.
11
posted on
09/28/2010 9:10:18 PM PDT
by
bwc2221
To: everyone
12
posted on
09/28/2010 9:10:52 PM PDT
by
onyx
(If you support Sarah and want on her Ping List, let me know!)
Comment #13 Removed by Moderator
To: rabscuttle385
14
posted on
09/28/2010 9:11:39 PM PDT
by
Gator113
(Beauty will devour the Beast in 2012. Kill "Obamamosque"@ Ground Zero)
To: ansel12
McCain was not a political mentor to Governor PalinYet in an op-ed published in The Arizona Republic on 26 Mar. 2010, Palin herself admitted that she had "respected McCain" for years before 2008 and expressed "deep admiration" for his repeated "willingness" to stab conservatives in their backs.
So please, do tell, was Palin lying when she wrote those words?
To: rabscuttle385
Someone whose followers aren't perpetually drunk on Kool-Aid. Did FR's obsessive, third party, Ron Paul, Kool-Aid by the tanker truck full guy, really say that?
16
posted on
09/28/2010 9:12:24 PM PDT
by
ansel12
([fear of Islam.] Once you are paralyzed by fear of Mohammedanism...you have lost the battle.)
To: DBeers; reformed_dem; Right Wingnut 2; Robert Drobot; death2tyrants; caww; ...
Ping!
To: bwc2221
The good thing is, there are fewer and fewer of them.
Most times Rabadash tries to hijack a thread anymore, he is either ignored or chastised as a malevolent petty back biter. Most people on FR have very little use for a divisive troll like that.
18
posted on
09/28/2010 9:12:38 PM PDT
by
Lakeshark
(Thank a member of the US armed forces for their sacrifice)
To: onyx
Got any pics of Todd with a gun that could take the place of the troll there? :)
19
posted on
09/28/2010 9:12:38 PM PDT
by
ReneeLynn
(Socialism is SO yesterday. Fascism, it*s the new black. Mmm Mmm Mmm.)
To: DBeers; reformed_dem; Right Wingnut 2; Robert Drobot; death2tyrants; caww; ...
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