One reason to think that Christine will get the win, narrow or otherwise, is that R’s are kicking ass this year.
Unlike Primaries, which are on different days in different states, the General is the same day everywhere.
There’s no way to know until election day exactly how big tea party and conservative and republican turnout is going to be.
I know that some likely voter screens require a 2008 vote.
The last one I saw did require that 2008 vote. A lot of tea partiers sat out 2008.
And that overal vibe that we got going on here, which is basically - We must stop Obama - is going to carry the day.
People are pissed and they’re going to vote. In Delaware and everywhere there are pissed people.
Some independent and moderate voters might not like Christine as much as I do. Ok. I love her. But after the non stop Christinefest craziness subsides, she’s by far the better candidate, right on the issues, in a year we’re winning.
If they use 2008 in their voter screen, and they do, often, the polls are going to be way way off. Look at the last poll before the election, and add numbers to the Republican and take numbers away from the Democrat. I don’t know how many and I’m not sure really that anyone does.