2012 will not be a redo of 1996 no matter how hard the Democrat spinmisters try to say it will be.
Here is why.
In 1996 talk radio, the Internet and Fox News were all in their infancy. The anti Establishment vote was split between a 3rd party guy named Perot and the GOP guy. The Tea Party movement, with it focus on picking off RINOs in primaries did not exist.
Bill Clinton got elected because there were few Conservative voices out there, except Rush Limbaugh, so the Democrat Party media was allowed to spin he myth that the recovering economy was all Clinton's doing. Then on top of all that, the GOP shot itself in the foot with a weak old RINO candidate.
None of those factors are going to work in 2012 for 0.
Actually 1995 was a key year in determining 1996. The Democrats went on an all out PR assault after the loss (as with 2005) leading to the aborted government shutdown.
We won't have a feel for how 2012 will go until early next year. Obama will benefit from a Republican win this year, but given he is in a lose-lose situation now that doesn't tell us much HOW he will benefit.
FNC and talk radio did not save Republicans in 2006 and 2008, and they certainly tried. There are limits. The past two years were what I call the rosy scenario for Republicans, as with 1994. They win just by sticking together and saying ‘No’.
I hope you are right. BO will lose if voters regain their sanity.
But didn't you predict McCain was going to win in 2008?