How is that possible? Ras needs at least a day lead time to prepare any kind of decent poll, if not a week of polling, and it's barely been 12 hours. This must be a "gut" poll projection.
Maybe he's still using the numbers he had when both Castle and O'Donnell were being considered. But knocking one of them out changes the dynamics considerably.
It will stabilize toward O'Donnell as November looms closer.
He did polling of the general election matchups for both Castle and O'Donnell last week, and his current rating is based on O'Donnell's poor showing in that poll.
He will do a new poll over the next couple of days, but I presume it will still show her down, because it will include the shell-shocked Castle Supporters who might well say they are voting democrat.
By next week, I expect a lot of them to either come back to Republican fold, or to just decide not to vote. So I expect she'll improve some over the next two weeks, but I think she'll still be a long-shot polling-wise.
Rasmussen has been polling both Castle and O’Donnell vs. the Democrat Coons for some weeks, now. In most recent poll, Coons was leading O’Donnell. That will be changing, soon, I suspect....
Last night might very well have cost us that seat. It certainly didn’t put us closer to winning it and shouldn’t be celebrated. That might keep the Dems in charge.