Paul
Maybe he thinks the “big MO” can’t sustain itself. To use a sports term like you have, there was a lot of buzz about the run and shoot years ago, but it didn’t survive. Maybe he thinks this is a perfect storm. He’s been at this game for a long time.
I have ZERO doubts in my mind that Rove would love to see conservatives win. He’s smart enough to know, however, when they have no shot you’re better off going with the RINO then the 100% liberal. It’s called being pragmatic.
Not one of the professional analysts that I know of, thought 4 weeks ago that O'Donnell had even a prayer. Heck, I didn't think she had a prayer. Yet she won big. So please forgive me if I take with a grain of salt this "she's unelectable in a blue state" business. This is NOT a normal time, and if she has even a 30% chance of winning, it's worth the risk.
Can the conservative "Tea Party" momentum be lost? Well, yes. If the economy suddenly took off, that would seem to "redeem" Obama and the Dems. But, I think we all know that is not going to happen, and most certainly not by November.
Or, a major Tea Party leader could make a horrible gaffe or stumble. That could hurt. But, the only "leader" who is "big enough" to create that sort of impact with a misstep is Sarah Palin -- and so far I see no sign she's going to slip that badly.
The MOST likely momentum killer would be rot or attacks from inside, and that's exactly what Rove is doing. He knows the Establishment Republican Party is in big trouble. By 2012, Sarah Palin and the Tea Party may be in position to do pretty much to them (and him) what she did to the Establishment Republican Party in Alaska. The Dems... well, we'll see if they do a Clinton and wise up, or continue to self-destruct.
Rove is an insider and if the grassroots Tea Party is effective, it means that he and all his insider buddies are irrelevant.
I have completely lost all respect for Rove after tonight. May Piss be upon him.